Welcome to the 12th question in our series: “Betting Experts Answer The Industries Biggest Questions.”
No matter what level you are at in your betting, everyone was once a beginner, making really common mistakes. So to save you a bit of time in your learning curve, we asked 14 experts the question:
Q12: What are the top 3 mistakes people make when betting?
Check out Part 1 of our answers here, where we get the opinions of sports betting analyst - Joseph Buchdahl, pro gambler - Anthony Kaminskas, Tennis betting analyst - Dan Weston, Nenko from Church of Betting and odds compiler - Jeeve Jeyaratnam.
Check out Part 3 of our answers here, where we get the opinions of Football betting analyst, pro sports bettor - Danshan, Smart Sports Trader - Ryan Bruno & author - True Poker Joe.
Check out Matthew’s podcast ‘Inside Betting’ here.
For the social media aficionados, I've got a hashtag for you to keep close: #friendsdontletfriendsbettrends
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So many topics I could talk about here, but if I had to select just 3 mistakes, they would be the following:
I regularly refer people to the CD Systems website as their 'Don't Go Broke' table outlines the likelihood of the type of sequences that can kick in based on your strike-rate. For example, how many people who have a 50% strike-rate would believe that they could lose 11 in a row? Not many, but it's about a 25% chance to happen over a sequence of 600 bets.
Understanding sequences and probability is therefore hugely important and the mistake many punters make is a failure to educate themselves on this very easy to understand concept.
I could give 10 people the same profitable tipster to follow, yet if the strike-rate is low and say month 1 and 2 don't make a profit, then come month 3, maybe only 5 people will stick with it. Yet in month 3 the profits made more than dwarf any losses incurred in month's 1 and 2 and all looks rosy. Those who quit in month 1 and 2 never see any of this and their rash decisions, coupled with point (1) on not understanding strike-rate and probability cost them.
Ultimately this is the very simple difference that many punters fail to appreciate - they need to be patient with their betting and see the big picture at all times. Profits don't come in a straight line!
I constantly bang the drum on this point, if your stalking is all over the place and based on your mood or recent wins/losses, it will ultimately cost you. I have seen punters with such a poor and inconsistent approach to staking that they have turned a winning tipster into a losing one.
Follow @SBCinfo on Twitter & check out the Smart Betting Club website here.
If we are talking about a new punter starting out on his journey, these are the simple mistakes they are making which stops them making a long-term profit.
These all add a few seconds to each bet, and by taking these extra steps you will be ahead of 95% of other punters. Get these right and then you can move onto the more advanced stuff.
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I think the most important area to address that constantly arises is related to your bankroll and managing your money. Most gamblers have been in a position where they overbet a certain match or race, chase losses after a losing run to return to previous levels and allocating funds whilst impaired in some form (alcohol, a bad loss etc). Being able to be of sound body and mind whilst allocating your funds is critical so that decision making is as optimal as possible. This is why many talk about process being so important to long term success and that unless there is manual override or human error, the process and system of betting allows you to avoid mistakes. Avoiding manual override is not easy and takes ongoing discipline. If you can take care of your bankroll and limit mistakes in this area, the other mistakes can hopefully be absorbed a little easier than potentially going bankrupt.
Follow @BettingPod on Twitter & check out The Business of Betting Podcast here.
Check out Part 1 of our answers here, where we get the opinions of sports betting analyst - Joseph Buchdahl, pro gambler - Anthony Kaminskas, Tennis betting analyst - Dan Weston, Nenko from Church of Betting and odds compiler - Jeeve Jeyaratnam.
Check out Part 3 of our answers here, where we get the opinions of Football betting analyst, pro sports bettor - Danshan, Smart Sports Trader - Ryan Bruno & author - True Poker Joe.
Love getting the opinions from experts in the betting industry? Then subscribe to the Trademate Sports Podcast, where we interview the most important people in the sports betting industry.
Here are the other questions we have got our industry experts to answer so far:
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